East Coast Home Inspection Ltd

Monthly Market Intelligence

Aerial view over the Saint John waterfront in late October, fall colour along the shore, the rail line curving beside the harbour and the potash terminal beyond

Monthly Market Intelligence

THE REPORT

Your briefing on Southern New Brunswick real estate trends, inspection insights from the field, and data that helps you advise your clients with confidence.

Market Snapshot

More homes to choose from, and a power increase on the table. What I want every buyer to know before winter.

Two things shape the Southern New Brunswick conversation as November starts. Buyers have more homes to choose from than at any September in five years, and NB Power has asked for 5.5% a year for the next three years. Both are good reasons to spend part of your inspection week on how the house is heated and how well it holds that heat. It is also Radon Action Month, and I have six years of my own radon tests to share.

$341,700

↑ 2.7% YoY

NB benchmark price (September)

724

↓ 12.6% YoY

Provincial sales (September)

5.6

Up from 4.6 a year ago

NB months of inventory

186

↑ 3.3% YoY

Saint John sales (September)

The quietest September in eight years, and Saint John kept selling

The September 2026 numbers from CREA and New Brunswick REALTORS tell two stories at once. Across the province, 724 homes sold, down 12.6% from last September, and the board called it the softest September total since 2018. At the same time, 4,049 homes were for sale, up 5.8% and the most for a September in more than five years. That put New Brunswick at 5.6 months of inventory, against 4.6 a year ago and a long run September average of 5.3.

Prices held through it. The provincial benchmark composite price was $341,700, up 2.7% year over year and within $700 of August. Townhouses again led the gains at 16.8%, single family homes rose 2.7%, and apartments were close to flat at 1%.

Saint John went the other way on sales. It was the only region in the province where sales rose, with 186 homes sold, up 3.3% on last September, at an average price of $373,302. Homes are also taking a little longer to sell across the province: in the third quarter, the median single detached home sold in 35 days, up from 31. That matches what I see on inspection day: buyers who have more homes to compare and a little more time to decide.

Saint John was the only region where sales rose

Home sales, September 2026 against September 2025.

Saint John 186 homes soldUp 3.3%
Up 3.3%
Northern and Valley Region
Down 8%
Fredericton Area
Down 9.1%
Greater Moncton
Down 26.1%

Across New Brunswick, 724 homes sold, down 12.6%: the quietest September since 2018.

What it means at the table

What I'd tell an agent. Saint John is still moving while the province slows, but across the province a listing is competing with more homes than at any September in five years, and the Bank of Canada raised its rate on October 28 for the first time since 2023. The buyers still shopping are watching their monthly costs closely. On an older home their first questions are usually what heats it, how old the system is, and what it costs to run. A listing with those answers in the file gives a careful buyer one less reason to wait.

What I'd tell a buyer. More homes for sale and more days on the market give you room for a full inspection period and conditions that do their job. With NB Power asking for higher rates and furnace oil still well above last year, the heating system and the attic insulation deserve a good share of that week. If the report shows a system near the end of its life, or insulation missing in places, you can price it into the deal while you still have a condition to work with.

Source: CREA / New Brunswick REALTORS du Nouveau Brunswick, September 2026

Jonathan's radon map of Southern New Brunswick, circles marking the communities where he has tested from 2020 to 2026, the largest at Saint John 17, Quispamsis 11, Rothesay 10 and Hampton 6
Radon Action Month

Six years of my radon tests on one map. What it shows, and what it cannot tell you about your home.

If you are buying a home in Southern New Brunswick this winter, its radon level is one thing only a test can tell you. This fall I put six years of my own radon tests on one map on my website: 62 tests from 2020 to 2026, across 18 communities in four counties, from Saint John and the Kennebecasis Valley out to Hampton and Charlotte County.

Here is what it shows. Nine of the 62 tests recorded 200 Bq/m³ or higher during the test, which is Health Canada's guideline, and the rest came in under it. The readings also vary from place to place, and homes close together can read very differently. That is the part I want every buyer and homeowner to take from it. A neighbour's result, or a whole town's, tells you nothing about your own house. The map is not a rating of any town, just where I have tested and what my monitor recorded.

A result above the guideline is not a reason to walk away from a house. It is a known fix, and the condition period or your first winter in the home is time enough to plan it. November is Radon Action Month in Canada, and with the windows shut and the heat on, it is a good month to start a long term test.

The inspection connection

I test radon to the C-NRPP standard. During a sale, my clients typically run a five to ten day test inside the condition period, which gives a first look before closing. The decision test comes after possession: a long term test of at least 91 days, with as much of it as possible in the heating season, when readings tend to run highest. If a long term result comes back above 200 Bq/m³, Health Canada recommends lowering it within a year, and a C-NRPP certified mitigation professional can install an active soil depressurization system, a fan that draws soil gas from under the house and vents it outdoors. I recommend radon testing on every home in Southern New Brunswick.

Side by side, a thermal image of a Saint John bathroom ceiling showing an irregular cool patch around the exhaust fan, and the same ceiling as the eye sees it
From the Field

NB Power has asked for 5.5% a year for three years. Where I look for the heat a house is losing.

If you are buying a home in New Brunswick this fall, there is a good chance it heats with electricity, and two pieces of news landed on the power bill in October. The 10% rebate on the electricity you use, the provincial share of the HST, applies to NB Power and Saint John Energy customers alike, and the energy minister told the Telegraph-Journal it will continue next year. At the same time, NB Power has asked the Energy and Utilities Board for 5.5% a year for the next three years. NB Power puts the first year at $13.25 a month on an average home, and by the third year that works out to about $500 more a year on the same home. None of it is approved yet. On an oil heated home, the maximum price for furnace oil delivered is $2.62 a litre as of November 4, below its September peak but still about half again what it cost a year ago.

A buyer cannot change the rate. How much heat the house loses is another matter. On one of my October thermal evaluations in Saint John, the camera showed an irregular cool area on the bathroom ceiling around the exhaust fan, one that did not follow the framing. A pattern like that can come from an air leak, from moisture, or from a fan duct that is not properly terminated, and the camera alone cannot say which. Elsewhere on that ceiling, cool patches with sharp edges showed a pattern consistent with insulation missing or pushed aside, and heat escaping there raises heating costs and in winter can help ice dams form.

My report recommended evaluation by a qualified specialist to confirm where the fan duct terminates, and to locate and correct the source before any repair to the ceiling. For the owner, that means having the fan duct checked and the insulation put back where it belongs, ideally before the coldest months, then repairing the ceiling once the cause is fixed.

The inspection connection

On a home inspection I look at the attic insulation, the bathroom fan and where its duct goes when I can see it, and any signs of frost or moisture, wherever the attic can be safely entered. Thermal imaging adds the camera, which shows where heat is leaving through ceilings and walls that look perfectly fine to the eye. For a buyer going into a first winter with higher rates on the table, it puts where the house loses heat on paper before closing.

Code Update

The 2025 building codes are now adopted, effective January 1, 2027

In September, the date New Brunswick moves to the 2025 codes sat on a road map that the province said might change. That is now settled. A provincial technical bulletin dated October 2 says New Brunswick has adopted the 2025 National Building Code and National Energy Code, effective January 1, 2027. For houses, the energy requirements step up from Tier 2 to Tier 3, and a new greenhouse gas requirement is added. The later steps on the road map, from 2029 on, are still a plan.

The date that decides which code a project falls under is the date a substantially complete building permit application is submitted. For a buyer comparing new builds next year, two houses finished a few months apart may have been built to different energy standards, and the permit date is what tells you which. For a resale home, nothing changes on January 1. Codes apply to new construction and permitted work going forward, so an existing home is not out of date because the code moved.

For buyers of new construction, CMHC Eco Plus is still open and refunds 25% of the mortgage loan insurance premium on a qualifying energy efficient new home, so the energy rating on a new build can be worth money at closing as well as on the power bill.

Jonathan crouched beside a wood stove in an unfinished basement, shining a flashlight on the certification label on its side, the stovepipe running into an old brick chimney
Listing Agent Tip

Three things to have in the file for a rural listing going into winter

A rural listing carries questions a town listing does not, and in the fall they tend to arrive together: what is in the well water, what the wood stove's report says, and when the septic was last looked after. Three things in the listing file answer them before a buyer's condition period starts.

A recent water test. The first question a buyer on a well asks is what is in the water. A recent result from an accredited lab, with the date on it, answers it before the offer.

A current WETT report, with the chimney top checked. On one stove I inspected this October, the rain cap was the only item I wrote up as needing correction: the cap had lifted at the end with age, so water could run toward the flue instead of away from it. It is the kind of item that belongs at the next chimney servicing, and it reads far better in the file already done than raised for the first time when the buyer's insurer asks for the report.

The septic records. When the tank was last pumped, and by whom, plus any permit or inspection paperwork the seller has. For a buyer moving out from city sewer, it may be the first septic system they have owned, and the records make it a lot less mysterious.

Why a pre-listing inspection earns its cost

A pre-listing inspection can cover the house, the wood stove with a WETT inspection added, and a water sample collected on the same visit, so the answers are in the file before the first showing. If you have a rural listing coming to market this winter and want to talk through what makes sense for it, call or text 506-651-9461.

Programs Worth Knowing

Three programs deserve a Southern New Brunswick buyer or seller's attention this month.

Heating Upgrades Still Open

The provincial pathways off oil

The Enhanced Energy Savings Program still provides free upgrades, including help switching off oil, for households with income under $70,000. Above that line, the Total Home Energy Savings program pays rebates such as $1,500 on a ducted heat pump and $2,000 on geothermal, with upgrades completed within nine months of the home energy evaluation. Registration for Oil to Heat Pump Affordability closed on June 30; households already enrolled have until March 31, 2027 to finish the work.

SaveEnergyNB →

Radon Action Month

November is the month to start a long term test

November is Radon Action Month in Canada. Free radon test kits are still available through New Brunswick public libraries while supplies last. A long term test of at least 91 days, started now, runs through the heating season, when readings tend to run highest.

Free library radon kits →

CMHC Eco Improvement

A 25% mortgage insurance premium refund

On a CMHC insured purchase of an existing home, a buyer who completes at least $20,000 in qualifying energy efficient renovations within two years of closing can apply for a refund of 25% of the mortgage loan insurance premium. A single heat pump on its own may not reach that line, so it is worth planning the upgrades together.

CMHC →
I am new to Quispamsis and New Brunswick… He pointed out just the right things that would cost us in short or long term and also recommended what next steps are.

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